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Estimate

Pakistan nuclear arsenal estimate

E530 · CSS Evidence Bank v1
This cardThe cardWhat it provesDebates (1)
~170 warheads — Pakistan nuclear arsenal estimate · Jan 2024 estimateSIPRI · Jan 2024 estimateNeeds audit
Source

SIPRI — no link on the sheet. Needs final source-line audit.

What it proves

Pakistan possesses a significant nuclear deterrent; arsenal size is an external estimate, not official disclosure.

How to deploy: Use Pakistan nuclear arsenal estimate (~170 warheads) to support: Pakistan possesses a significant nuclear deterrent; arsenal size is an external estimate, not official disclosure.

Nuclear deterrenceIndia-Pakistan

Debates this card can serve