Evidence
GDP at current prices, United States vs China
Source
IMF, World Economic Outlook (April 2026) — https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/api/v1/NGDPD/USA/CHN. Matched to the source page by an automated research pass on 6 Oct 2026; not yet checked by a person..
What it proves
At market exchange rates the US economy remains about 1.5 times China's, so the transition is incomplete.
gdpus-chinaeconomic powergreat power competitionpower transitionimf