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Argument evidence · Tier 1

Under a 3°C warming scenario, Pakistan's water demand could rise by more than 50% by 2047 while supply remains relativel

E290 · CSS Evidence Bank v1
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Under a 3°C warming scenario, Pakistan's water demand could rise by more than 50% by 2047 while supply remains relativel · Projection to 2047World Bank · Projection to 2047Source named — not yet verified
Source

World Bank — https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/262891632949399367/pdf/World-Bank-Group-Climate-Change-Action-Plan-2021-2025-South-Asia-Roadmap.pdf. Verified in source set / retroactive normalization pending.

What it proves

Climate adaptation is core economic planning because water affects agriculture, food, energy and livelihoods.

How to deploy: Use Under a 3°C warming scenario, Pakistan's water demand could rise by more than 50% by 2047 while supply remains relativel (Under a 3°C warming scenario, Pakistan's water demand could rise by more than 50% by 2047 while supply remains relatively fixed., Projection to 2047) to support the claim that Climate adaptation is core economic planning because water affects agriculture, food, energy and livelihoods.

Draft — not reviewed

What it does not prove: This is a conditional scenario under 3°C warming, not a forecast, and the alarming gap comes as much from the modelling assumption that supply stays fixed as from rising demand. "Demand" here is projected requirement under assumed cropping, population and income paths, so efficiency gains or a shift out of water-intensive crops change the number rather than the climate doing so.

Memory hook: 3°C → demand up over 50% by 2047 while supply stays fixed

Rebuts the claim: "Climate adaptation is an environmental concern to be addressed once growth is secured" — water demand on this trajectory constrains agriculture, energy and food supply inside one planning generation.

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