Argument evidence · Tier 1

Agriculture contributed 23.44% of GDP in FY2025-26.

E441 · CSS Evidence Bank v1

This card

The card What it proves Pairs with (3)In chains (2)

Agriculture contributed 23.44% of GDP in FY2025-26. · FY2025-26Pakistan Economic Survey · FY2025-26Source named — not yet verified

Source

Pakistan Economic Survey — https://finance.gov.pk/survey/chapter_26/Highlights_of_the_PES_2026.pdf. Verified in source set / retroactive normalization pending.

What it proves

Agriculture remains macroeconomically important.

Draft — not reviewed

What it does not prove: A 23.44% share of value added is not a 23.44% share of workers or livelihoods, and because it is measured at current prices the share can rise in a year when food prices outpace prices elsewhere without a single extra tonne being produced. It also conceals composition: 62.45% of that value added is livestock, so 'a quarter of GDP is agriculture' does not mean a quarter of GDP is crop farming.

Memory hook: 23.44% → a quarter of GDP, yet most of it is livestock

Rebuts the claim: "Pakistan has already structurally transformed out of agriculture into services" — a sector still worth 23.44% of GDP in FY2025-26 cannot be treated as residual.

Pairs with

Livestock is 62.45% of agricultural value added and 14.64% of total GDP. (FY2025-26)Pakistan Economic Survey World Bank identifies rising non-agricultural labour income as principal driver of long-run poverty reduction. (2025)World Bank Rural poverty remains more than twice urban poverty. (2025)World Bank

In chains and maps

Pakistan Food SecurityWater/climate/income shocks → agricultural instability + food prices → access/utilization problems → malnutrition → weak human capital → poverty Pakistan Development SystemPopulation + weak human capital + low investment + energy + export + fiscal + governance + climate constraints → mutually reinforcing development traps