Agriculture grew 2.89% in FY2025-26 versus 1.53% in FY2024-25.

What it does not prove: 2.89% is a rebound measured against an unusually weak 1.53% base year, so the acceleration flatters itself; a sector growing 2.89% against 2.07% annual population growth adds under a percentage point per head. The headline also averages a livestock sub-sector growing 3.75% with important crops at 0.65%, so 'the sector recovered' is true only in aggregate.

Memory hook: 2.89% vs 1.53% → recovery only just outrunning 2.07% population growth

Rebuts the claim: "Pakistani agriculture is in terminal decline" — the sector nearly doubled its growth rate year on year in FY2025-26.