Cotton production ~7.05m bales, down ~0.5%.
Source
Pakistan Economic Survey — https://finance.gov.pk/survey/chapter_26/Highlights_of_the_PES_2026.pdf. Verified in source set / retroactive normalization pending.
What it proves
Cotton weakness affects farming, textiles, manufacturing and exports.
What it does not prove: A 0.5% fall is close to flat, so the story is persistent stagnation rather than a dramatic crash — the damage is the level cotton is stuck at, not this year's change. It is also a production figure in bales, which says nothing about lint quality, ginning losses or how much of the textile industry's raw material is now imported.
Memory hook: 7.05m bales → cotton edged down while the rest of agriculture grew
Rebuts the claim: "Textile export weakness is a factory-floor problem of energy costs and productivity" — the raw-material base itself shrank while agriculture overall grew 2.89%.