Agriculture tax-effort gap
Source
IMF Pakistan staff report — https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/002/2026/101/article-A001-en.xml. Verified in source set / retroactive normalization pending.
What it proves
Strong evidence for arguments about narrow and uneven tax bases.
What it does not prove: The 0.3% is an effective rate against sectoral value added, not against taxable income: much of agriculture is subsistence and smallholder output that would fall below any realistic threshold, and farmers still bear indirect taxes through inputs, so the revenue actually recoverable is far smaller than a 24.6%-versus-0.3% framing suggests. Agricultural income tax is also a provincial subject, so the gap is a federalism and collection-capacity problem, not simply a missing federal tax.
Memory hook: 24.6% of output, 0.3% taxed → the base thins where the economy is thickest
Rebuts the claim: 'Pakistan's revenue shortfall is purely an enforcement failure against salaried and corporate filers' — the largest exempted base is sectoral, not evasive.