Prep Right
Statistic · Tier 1

Agriculture tax-effort gap

E239 · CSS Evidence Bank v1
This cardThe cardWhat it provesPairs with (3)In chains (1)
Agriculture accounted for about 24.6% of value added while IMF estimated its effective tax rate at around 0.3% — Agriculture tax-effort gap · FY2025 / 2026 IMF analysisIMF Pakistan staff report · FY2025 / 2026 IMF analysisSource named — not yet verified
Source

IMF Pakistan staff report — https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/002/2026/101/article-A001-en.xml. Verified in source set / retroactive normalization pending.

What it proves

Strong evidence for arguments about narrow and uneven tax bases.

Draft — not reviewed

What it does not prove: The 0.3% is an effective rate against sectoral value added, not against taxable income: much of agriculture is subsistence and smallholder output that would fall below any realistic threshold, and farmers still bear indirect taxes through inputs, so the revenue actually recoverable is far smaller than a 24.6%-versus-0.3% framing suggests. Agricultural income tax is also a provincial subject, so the gap is a federalism and collection-capacity problem, not simply a missing federal tax.

Memory hook: 24.6% of output, 0.3% taxed → the base thins where the economy is thickest

Rebuts the claim: 'Pakistan's revenue shortfall is purely an enforcement failure against salaried and corporate filers' — the largest exempted base is sectoral, not evasive.

TaxationAgricultureFiscal Capacity

Pairs with

In chains and maps